Commercial Insurance Rates Moderate in Q2 as Market Shows Signs of Stabilization
U.S. commercial insurance rates increased 2.8% in the second quarter of 2025, marking a slight moderation from the 3% rate hike recorded in the first quarter, according to Novatae Risk Group’s quarterly Market Barometer.
The quarter-over-quarter deceleration suggests the commercial insurance market may be entering a more stable phase after years of sustained rate increases. The data, based on pricing surveys by the Risk & Insurance Education Alliance, provides market intelligence for brokers, underwriters, and risk managers navigating current conditions.
“Automobile and umbrella insurance continue to experience moderate increases, but even these lines are down from the first quarter,” said Richard Kerr, CEO of Novatae Risk Group. “We are also seeing steady improvement in property insurance rates, which is encouraging for insurance buyers.”
Coverage Lines Show Varied Performance
Commercial auto insurance continues to face the most significant rate pressures, with rate increases of 6.7% in the second quarter, followed by umbrella/excess liability coverage at 5%. General liability rates rose 3.7%, while commercial property increased 3.6%, according to the report.
Several coverage categories experienced more restrained rate growth. Workers’ compensation maintained flat pricing at 0%, while employment practices liability insurance (EPLI) also showed no increase. Cyber liability, professional liability, fiduciary, crime, and surety coverages all recorded modest 1% to 1.3% increases.
Account size analysis reveals an inverse relationship between premium volume and rate increases. Small accounts with premiums up to $25,000 experienced 3.7% rate growth in the second quarter, while medium accounts ($25,001 to $250,000 in premiums) saw 3.3% increases.
Large accounts ($250,001 to $1 million) and jumbo accounts (over $1 million) both recorded 3% rate increases, according to the Market Barometer report.
Industry Sectors Face Uneven Rate Pressures
Industry-specific data showed the transportation sector bearing the heaviest rate increase burden at 6.3%, aligning with the elevated commercial auto rates affecting this sector. Energy sector businesses faced 3.3% rate increases on average, while habitational risks saw 3% increases.
Manufacturing companies experienced 2.7% rate increases, while service businesses recorded 2.3% rate increases on average. Contracting businesses saw 2% rate increases, and public entities faced the most favorable conditions with 1.7% rate growth.
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