P&C Industry Posts Record First-Quarter Underwriting Profit, Extending Profitable Streak

The U.S. property and casualty industry recorded an unprecedented net underwriting gain of $22.10 billion in the first quarter of 2026, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence.
By: | May 27, 2026
P&C financial results

The property & casualty insurance industry’s first-quarter underwriting performance surpassed any comparable prior-period result on both a nominal and inflation-adjusted basis over at least the past 25 years, according to analysis by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

The U.S. P&C industry’s combined ratio before policyholder dividends came in at 89.5% — more than a full percentage point better than any first-quarter result in that same span — marking the seventh consecutive quarter in which the industry posted a sub-100% combined ratio.

Property and Private Auto Lead the Charge

Strong performance in property lines and private passenger auto drove the headline result, S&P said. The homeowners multiperil line saw its direct incurred loss ratio fall 58.1 percentage points year over year to 44.3% in Q1 2026, reversing the spike to 102.3% recorded in the first quarter of 2025, which was heavily influenced by losses from the Los Angeles wildfires.

The fire line and the non-liability portion of commercial multiperil also showed meaningful improvement, with loss ratios declining 40.3 and 11.2 percentage points, respectively.

Private auto, which accounted for more than one-third of total direct premiums written in the third quarter, continued to benefit from favorable conditions. The line’s direct incurred loss ratio of 60.4% improved 0.6 percentage points year over year and sits roughly 15.4 points below where it stood in early 2023, when rapid loss-cost inflation was pressuring carriers.

The eight largest U.S. private auto writers — Progressive, Allstate, Berkshire Hathaway (Geico’s parent), State Farm, USAA, Farmers Group and Liberty Mutual — each generated underwriting profits exceeding $1 billion in the quarter, the report noted. State Farm alone posted a $7.07 billion swing to a gain of $1.98 billion compared with a wildfire-inflated loss of $5.09 billion in the year-earlier period.

A separate factor affecting the P&C industry’s reported combined ratio — though not its net underwriting gain — was a spike in the policyholder dividend ratio to nearly 2.4%, the second-highest quarterly result in 25 years. State Farm’s recording of $4.95 billion in dividends as part of a one-time distribution to its auto customers was the primary driver, the report said.

Casualty Lines Remain a Weak Spot

Despite the industry’s overall strength, several casualty segments continued to struggle. The other liability lines posted a direct incurred loss ratio of 65.8% in the first quarter — the highest such result for a first quarter in 24 years, according to the report.

Commercial auto liability also worsened, with its direct incurred loss ratio deteriorating 3.2 percentage points year over year to 71.1%, undermining earlier hopes for improvement in that long-challenged line.

Questions About Durability

The industry’s current profitable streak now matches a seven-quarter run from the third quarter of 2014 through the first quarter of 2016, and the report said there is reason to believe carriers could extend beyond that mark later in 2026, assuming relatively benign catastrophe activity.

Still, S&P identified several threats to sustained profitability. Intensifying competition in private auto has slowed premium growth, and widespread reports of falling commercial property rates raise concerns about pricing adequacy going forward.

Skepticism about the durability of favorable reserve development in workers’ compensation, loss-cost inflation tied to geopolitical uncertainty, and persistent social inflation in long-tail liability lines were also cited as risks.

On the other side of the ledger, the report noted that P&C carriers have largely maintained pricing and underwriting discipline in the homeowners segment despite an extended stretch of relatively modest catastrophe losses. &

The R&I Editorial Team can be reached at [email protected].

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