Weather Shifts Drive 113% Surge in Q4 2024 CAT Insurance Claims

The insurance industry is grappling with a new reality as shifting weather patterns and rising reconstruction costs are driving up catastrophe claims by 113% year-on-year, according to a report on fourth-quarter property claims by Verisk.
Traditionally, the fourth quarter has been dominated by winter storm claims. However, 2024 saw a significant shift towards late-season hurricanes, resulting in a 36% surge in total claims volume compared to the previous year. Most notably, hurricane-related claims skyrocketed by 1,100% compared to Q4 2023, indicating a fundamental change in seasonal risk patterns, according to Verisk.
The Southeast experienced cost increases at six times the national rate, with Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina bearing the brunt of Q4 hurricane damage. Surprisingly, the Great Plains and Pacific Northwest also recorded unexpected claim increases, suggesting broader climate shifts affecting previously less vulnerable region, the report noted.
Hurricane Milton — which made landfall Oct. 9, 2024, and generated 187,000 claims totaling $2.68 billion in replacement cost value — exemplifies the strain these events can put on the industry. The sheer volume of claims from Milton stretched industry resources, resulting in extended cycle times averaging 11.2 days compared to the Q4 average of 9.7 days. This case study highlights how concentrated catastrophic events can overwhelm traditional claims processing systems, according to the report.
Economic Pressures and Industry Economics
In addition to weather-related challenges, the insurance industry is grappling with evolving economic factors. Labor costs outpaced materials costs in Q4 2024, with U.S. labor costs rising 1.42% over the same period of 2023. Skilled labor shortages, particularly among concrete masons, have led to a 26.31% increase in labor costs over the past year.
Material costs also continued to rise, with Q4 U.S. materials costs increasing 2.63% year over year. These combined pressures have led to a substantial increase in reconstruction costs, according to Verisk, with residential costs increasing 4.5% year over year and commercial costs rising 5.5%.
“Together, these trends point to an industry environment that requires precise data analytics and forward-looking insights to navigate successfully,” the report’s authors stated.
Obtain the full report here. &