Financial Crime Risks Expected to Surge in 2025

Global executives fear rising financial crime risks while compliance programs struggle to keep pace with AI threats, Kroll survey finds.
By: | March 25, 2025
Financial or taxes fraud. Business report and magnifying glass.

Financial crime risks are expected to increase in 2025, fueled by artificial intelligence, escalating geopolitical tensions, and evolving regulations that pose new challenges in combating fraud and financial crimes, according to a survey of global business executives by Kroll.

The survey found that 71% of executives predict an increase in financial crime in 2025, up from 67% expecting an increase in 2023. The survey also revealed a concerning disparity: despite the high percentage of executives predicting increased financial crime, only 23% consider their compliance programs highly effective in mitigating these threats.

When asked about specific risk factors, cybersecurity vulnerabilities were cited as a major concern by 68% of respondents, while 61% identified the use of AI by criminals as a significant risk factor.

AI plays a dual role in the compliance landscape, being both a potential solution and a significant threat, the report noted. While 57% of executives believe AI will benefit their compliance programs through improved efficiency and effectiveness, 49% simultaneously view it as a significant compliance risk.

Cryptocurrency is another technological challenge, with 59% of executives viewing it as a moderate to significant threat. However, 29% of organizations currently accept or transact in cryptocurrency, and another 32% are considering adoption.

Compliance Challenges and Actions

Despite the recognized importance of technology in fighting financial crime, only 30% of executives strongly agree their organization has sufficient technology and investment to address financial crimes compliance challenges. Even more concerning, just 29% report having robust governance infrastructure in place.

The geopolitical landscape creates additional compliance hurdles, with only 33% of executives feeling “very prepared” to address geopolitical issues affecting their business. Similarly, just 39% express high confidence in their sanctions screening capabilities.

Despite preparation gaps, organizations recognize the growing importance of compliance functions. A substantial 79% of executives expect their compliance function to take on more responsibility in the coming years. Additionally, 80% report a meaningful organizational commitment to fostering a culture of integrity. Cybersecurity is receiving particular attention, with 47% of executives planning to increase cybersecurity budgets.

Other key actions include conducting more frequent risk assessments (41%) and implementing additional controls (39%). These measures reflect a growing understanding that financial crime prevention requires continuous adaptation and vigilance.

Obtain the full report here. &

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