9 Questions for NFP’s Adrian Pellen

Risk & Insurance magazine recently spoke with Adrian Pellen, Managing Director, Construction & Infrastructure at NFP (an Aon Company), to hear his thoughts on the current state of the North American construction industry.
He spoke about 2025 construction trends, tariff developments, and geopolitical issues impacting the industry. Finally, Pellen shared some risk management strategies firms can utilize to offset these trending risks.
Risk & Insurance: How would you describe the current state of the construction industry in North America when it comes to managing supply chain volatility?
Adrian Pellen: The construction industry is facing a very pressing and urgent supply chain volatility issue that has captured the attention of every stakeholder – contractors, owners, lenders, and insurance brokers. At the same time, volatility in material pricing has driven companies to adopt a range of strategies to mitigate rising costs, including renegotiating contracts to clarify who bears the risk of increased costs and implementing proactive approaches to diversify supply chain pipelines moving forward. It’s a regular conversation that construction leaders are reevaluating on a weekly basis.
R&I: What construction trends are you tracking most closely in 2025, and how are these influencing risk strategies across your client base?
AP: We’re tracking three major trends that are impacting our clients’ risk strategies. First, tariffs and supply chain disruption are driving contractors and owners to explore opportunities for nearshoring supply chains within the US and Canada for both geopolitical and geographic advantages. Second, social inflation and litigation funding are creating massive cost escalation across the United States, forcing project owners and contractors to focus heavily on risk controls with contractual, operational, and technological tactics. Third, there’s significant investment in technology underway both to improve construction timelines with modular and prefabricated parts and then in technology to improve safety on job sites with things like IoT device and digital project management software that can create efficiencies while mitigating risk.
R&I: How have recent tariff developments and geopolitical tensions shifted risk conversations with your clients?
AP: Recent tariff developments have captured construction leaders’ attention and created a very fluid, ongoing conversation with our clients. Unlike COVID-related supply chain shocks that were demand-driven, this is a policy-induced disruption that changes week to week, forcing contractors and owners to build a larger contingency budget into their bids – sometimes jumping from 5% to 8% or even 10% in some cases. We’re seeing construction leaders pay much more attention to renegotiating contract terms to clearly define who bears responsibility for tariff-induced changes. We are also seeing increased interest for insurance products to help mitigate the impact of tariffs. While insurance is not designed to cover risk of tariffs directly, there are a number of coverage clauses that can proactively mitigate the impact of tariff induced shocks in the event of an insurable claim.
R&I: How are leading construction firms adapting their risk management frameworks to account for both tariff uncertainty and long-term material sourcing volatility?
AP: Many leading construction project stakeholders are shifting to value-based procurement rather than lowest cost bidding, factoring in material sourcing locations and tariff exposure beyond just price. Many construction leaders are also implementing strategies to diversify supply chains and reevaluating products to understand the full depth of exposure. Also, some construction firms are incorporating escalation clauses into contracts with clearly defined terms between owners and contractors, while expanding contingencies into agreements and enhancing forecasting based on the latest tariff information.
R&I: How are construction executives rethinking leadership and risk governance in light of supply chain unpredictability?
AP: While enterprise risk management frameworks remain in place, supply chain unpredictability has elevated the issue to the boardroom, prompting many construction executives to embed scenario planning into long-term strategy. As a result, across the industry we are seeing a pivot from a cost-efficiency mindset toward one centered on resilience. Leadership teams are actively mapping critical equipment suppliers, flagging potential bottlenecks, and introducing alternate sourcing—even when those alternatives carry tariff implications. Equally important, education and training can help ensure field personnel to connect global economic trends to the realities of project execution on the ground.
R&I: What are some of the key insurance-related strategies firms are using to offset risks tied to international trade, tariffs, or cost escalations?
AP: From a procurement perspective, many construction executives are looking to solidify contracts on a guaranteed price basis for materials such as steel and wood to create a stockpile with the aim of reducing exposure to price volatility caused by either tariffs or shortages. When working with both owners and contractors, we need to proactively ask about any off-site and owner-supplied materials to ensure that we are pricing builder’s risk insurance accurately for potential exposures. While these aren’t new exposures, they are exposures we are seeing in much greater frequency.
Under builder’s risk policies and other construction property policies the cost to replace any equipment or materials can be impacted by tariffs. Most policies have escalation clauses to cover cost increases up to 10-15% in addition to the original replacement cost. Both owners and contractors want clarity on all possible exposures in advance, so proactive risk mitigation and scenario planning is key to ensure there are no surprises in the event of a claim.
R&I: How does the construction industry’s response to tariffs differ across the U.S. and Canadian markets? Are there best practices being shared cross-border?
AP: We are still seeing heavy integration between U.S. and Canadian markets and it’s still common to see certain source materials traded regularly between markets, especially for items like steel and timber. In the Canadian market, there is a growing push to buy Canadian products, especially on the consumer side, which could have knock on effects for the construction industry as well.
R&I: What innovations or collaborations are you most excited about when it comes to the future of construction risk strategy?
AP: There are three major areas that I’m excited about. First, on the data and analytics front, many contractors are investing more time to dig into their own data to get to the root risk of claims. Contractors are pulling out granular insights, such as the day of the week with the most incidents, to proactively improve safety measures.
Next, AI has the potential to change how we work with clients to proactively integrate risk mitigation strategies into job sites. Increasingly, we are seeing IOT wearable safety devices, like BrickEye and Open Space, that have embedded AI capabilities. These devices have the potential to improve job site safety and can also be a powerful tool in proactively mitigating a host of risks facing workers. Lastly, there’s a lot of interesting jobsite and project management technology in development that contractors are implementing to mitigate risk and ensure projects come in on time and on budget.
R&I: Where do you see the biggest opportunity for transformation in construction risk management over the next 3–5 years?
AP: The next five years will be a huge bet on enterprise and jobsite technology to improve productivity, efficiency and safety of how we deliver a better built environment. Additionally, the connection between risk control and dynamic pricing will continue to evolve. Projects that can effectively and proactively manage risk will be more attractive targets for insurers who are becoming more open to reevaluating rates as projects proceed. &