Why Workers’ Comp Leaders Are Feeling the Squeeze — and Where They’re Finding Answers
If you think it feels harder to run a workers’ compensation program than it did five years ago, you’re not alone. It’s not your imagination – your peers are feeling it too. And the data bears it out.
Claim frequency nationally has stayed flat or continued to decline, according to the National Council on Compensation Insurance’s latest analysis — the kind of number that, on its own, would suggest a system getting easier to manage. But severity tells a different story.
NCCI reports medical and indemnity severity both climbed roughly 4% in the most recent accident year, and separate industry research published by Enlyte points to the same underlying shift. It’s not that more people are getting hurt, it’s that the claims coming through the door are more complicated than they used to be.
Some of that complexity has a name. Claims involving behavioral health treatment now run at nearly four times the medical cost — and more than double the duration — of claims without it. Comorbidities like obesity, hypertension, and prior surgery show up in a majority of case-managed claims, each one compounding the next.
Musculoskeletal and soft-tissue injuries make up roughly half of all claims, and that share is growing, driven in part by a workforce that’s aging into more degenerative conditions and occupational shifts toward physically demanding work.
Layer onto that a claims workforce under its own pressure. Industry projections point to hundreds of thousands of insurance-sector workers exiting through attrition in the coming years, a gap that hits experienced claims talent especially hard just as the claims themselves are getting harder to handle.
Underpinning it all, the regulatory terrain keeps shifting under everyone’s feet — expanding presumption laws, new state-level mental health statutes, and evolving compliance requirements that vary claim by claim and jurisdiction by jurisdiction.
None of this is a crisis. It’s something even more demanding: a slow accumulation of complexity that doesn’t show up as a single problem to solve, just a harder version of the same job, year over year.
You’re also not solving it alone, even if it feels that way most days.
Every leader carrying this weight is working from the same underlying conditions — the same cost pressures, the same regulatory churn, the same behavioral-health and comorbidity complexity, the same thinning bench of experienced claims professionals. What varies isn’t the problem. It’s how far along different organizations are in figuring out a response — and how willing they are to talk about what’s actually working.
That’s why a gathering like National Comp is an insider track for program leaders. It’s not because any single session hands over a magic bullet … the answer to “how do we fix this?” rarely fits on a slide deck. It’s because the people who’ve made real progress on these exact pressures are in the room, willing to talk through what they tried, what failed, and what actually moved the needle.
This year’s program is built around that premise. Sessions dig into why claims are misdiagnosed and what that costs a program long after the initial exam. Others take on the psychosocial and behavioral factors driving delayed recovery — the same factors the data shows are quietly the most expensive variable in a claim.
Do you want to know how AI and analytics are actually earning their keep in claims operations versus where they’re still mostly promise? That’s on the table, alongside the year’s legal and regulatory shifts, like the presumption-law shifts reshaping state-level exposure. People are talking about the talent pipeline again, not just identifying the problem but taking action and creating solutions.
The people leading these conversations run programs at a scale where problems get expensive fast. Risk and claims leaders from organizations like Kaiser Permanente, Sutter Health, American Airlines, PepsiCo, Walmart, Netflix, and HCA Healthcare are opening up to peers — alongside organizations like The Hartford, Travelers, and Sedgwick, who sit on the other side of those same claims every day.
When a program leader from a household-name employer describes what actually changed a cost curve, it’s not theory.
There’s no solution-in-a-box. But there is an opportunity to sit across from people managing the same pressures you are, at organizations further along on a specific piece of the puzzle than yours might be— and to walk away with something more useful than inspiration: a next step you can actually take back to your team.
National Comp runs September 29–30 in Las Vegas at Mandalay Bay. If the last few years have made your program harder to run than it used to be, you’re reading the data right. Register today, and come spend two days with the people working the same problems from all sides. &

