Reinsurance Industry Saw Record 22% ROE in 2023: AM Best
The global reinsurance industry experienced a banner year in 2023, with the top 25 companies posting an impressive 22% return on equity (ROE), dramatically higher than the previous year’s performance, according to an analysis by AM Best.
The 22% ROE, based on a composite of the top 25 global reinsurers, represents a significant leap from the 1% ROE recorded in 2022, and is more than double the 9% ROE for 2021, marking the highest return in five years for the sector, according to the report.
This surge in profitability was fueled by a trifecta of factors: robust net investment income, strong underwriting gains, and significant unrealized capital gains. As ROEs soared well above the cost of equity capital, the reinsurance industry finds itself in a position of strength, though future challenges loom on the horizon, including the potential impact of major natural catastrophes and the cyclical nature of the reinsurance market.
Improved Operating Margins
The reinsurance industry’s operational efficiency reached new heights in 2023, with companies reporting their lowest combined and operating ratios in five years. This improvement can be attributed to the implementation of stricter reinsurance terms and conditions, which have allowed companies to better manage their risk exposure and improve profitability, AM Best stated.
Reinsurers have adjusted their policies to move away from lower layers close to primary perils, a strategy that has paid off in the face of secondary natural catastrophe events that characterized the year. This approach has enabled the industry to maintain strong performance despite potential challenges posed by events such as Hurricanes Milton and Helene, according to the rating agency.
Increased retained earnings have strengthened balance sheets across the industry. This improvement in financial stability has been further enhanced by muted dividends and share buybacks, as companies prioritize reinvestment and capital preservation.
Trends Shaping the Reinsurance Landscape
Shift in Investment Allocations: The reinsurance industry has witnessed a significant shift in investment strategies over the past six years, according to AM Best. There has been a notable decline in allocations to private equity and hedge funds, with a corresponding increase in fixed-maturity investments. This change is primarily attributed to the rise in interest rates in 2022, which prompted a concentrated shift in 2023.
The allocation to other invested assets, primarily composed of private equity and hedge funds, has decreased by 11 percentage points. These resources have been largely redirected to fixed-maturity investments such as U.S. government and corporate bonds. The remainder has been allocated to short-term investments and cash equivalents.
This strategic shift towards a more defensive portfolio provides stable and steady investment income generation, higher liquidity, shorter durations, and high-quality investments. These factors contribute positively to the industry’s operating performance and balance sheet strength in the short to medium term, AM Best stated.
Natural Catastrophe Risk Management: Secondary natural catastrophe events have become the norm, prompting reinsurers to adjust their policies and move away from lower layers close to the primary peril.
Recent events, such as Hurricanes Milton and Helene, have the potential for incurred insured losses ranging from $25 billion to $50 billion. A significant proportion of these losses is likely to be transferred to the global reinsurance market.
“According to various industry sources, Hurricanes Milton and Helene in aggregate have the potential for incurred insured losses of $25 billion to $50 billion, a significant proportion of which is likely to be transferred to the global reinsurance market. However, stricter reinsurance terms and conditions, which led to higher attachment points, are expected to make reinsurers’ losses manageable,” the report stated.
Reinsurers are focusing on higher layers of risk, which allows them to maintain profitability while still providing necessary coverage for extreme events.
Tax Environment Changes: The tax landscape for reinsurers is evolving, particularly in Bermuda, AM Best boted. The introduction of deferred tax assets (DTA) by the Bermuda Ministry of Finance has significantly impacted income taxes and future profitability for companies domiciled there.
This change comes in response to the global acceptance of a 15% minimum corporate tax rate. Bermuda has allowed companies to establish DTA accounts, with 2023 taxable income set as an intangible asset. Over a typical 10- to 15-year period, the DTA account will be amortized and offset taxable income, the report explained.
The impact of this change was evident in 2023, with total tax payments for the industry being proportionally less than in 2022. This tax environment shift is expected to have long-term implications for the profitability and competitiveness of Bermuda-based reinsurers.
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