Commercial P&C Rates Rise 3.8% in Q3, But Storm Threat May Be Rising
The U.S. commercial property & casualty (P&C) insurance market continues to face upward pressure on rates amid an active hurricane season, according to MarketScout’s Market Barometer for the third quarter of 2024.
Commercial insurance rates rose 3.8% in the third quarter of 2024, with rate increases varied by line of coverage, size of account and industry, according to the wholesale broker and MGA.
MarketScout noted that the P&C sector is in the midst of an active hurricane season, which could produce potentially significant insured losses that impact P&C rates in the quarters to come.
“As of this report, Hurricane Milton is on a direct trajectory toward Florida, with potential landfall predicted as a Category 3 or 4 storm,” said Richard Kerr, CEO of Novatae, parent of MarketScout. “Depending on its strength and where it makes landfall, Milton could become one of the most significant insured property catastrophe events in recent years.”
Commercial Insurance Rate Trends
The third quarter’s 3.8% composite increase compares with a 4.4% increase in Q2 and 3.9% increase in Q1.
For the third quarter, rate changes varied by coverage class, account size, and industry, according to Market Scout’s analysis, which is based on pricing surveys conducted by the Risk & Insurance Education Alliance.
In terms of coverage class, the highest rate hikes were seen in commercial auto and cyber liability, both rising 7.3%. Commercial property rates were up 5.7%. Most other commercial lines, such as general liability, umbrella/excess, and professional liability, experienced moderate increases in the 1-5% range. Workers’ compensation was the notable exception, with rates remaining flat in the quarter.
Looking at account size, medium accounts ($25,001 – $250,000 in premium) were hit with the highest rate increase at 5.3%. Large accounts ($250,001 – $1 million) were close behind at 4.7%. Jumbo accounts (over $1 million) saw a 4% rise, while small accounts (up to $25,000) experienced the smallest bump at 3.7%.
From an industry perspective, transportation and habitational risks felt the most significant impact, with rates climbing 7.3% and 6% respectively. On the other end of the spectrum, energy accounts and public entities saw the lowest increases at just 2% each. Manufacturing, contracting, and service industries fell in the middle, with hikes ranging from 4.3% to 5.7%.
Impact of Recent Hurricanes
Hurricane Helene left a trail of destruction, with industry losses estimated to exceed $10 billion, Market Scout noted. However, much of the Helene damage while extreme was flood-related, and many insureds had not purchased flood coverage.
This oversight could lead to increased scrutiny on insurance agents’ professional liability exposures, as questions arise about whether they adequately offered flood insurance options to their clients and if clients formally declined such coverage, according to MarketScout.
The fourth quarter is expected to reveal the full extent of their impact on pricing in the commercial insurance sector, Market Scout stated.
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