Civil Unrest Tops Business Concerns Amid Rising Global Political Risks

Allianz report reveals 51% of companies fear civil unrest as protests spike worldwide; terrorism, state-sponsored sabotage, and environmental activism pose growing threats to operations.
By: | April 9, 2025
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Political risks and violence remain a top 10 global concern for businesses for the third consecutive year, with civil unrest, terrorism, and state-sponsored sabotage posing significant threats to operations and assets, according to a report from Allianz Commercial.

Civil unrest has emerged as global businesses’ primary political violence concern, with 51% of companies ranking it as their main worry. Since 2017, more than 800 significant anti-government protests have occurred across 150+ countries, with more than 160 events in 2024 alone, according to the report.

In the top 20 countries for protest activity, Allianz documented more than 80,000 incidents in 2024, with India (18,626), the United States (8,549), and France (5,517) experiencing the highest frequency of protests. In terms of the countries with the greatest increase in the frequency of protests between 2023 and 2024, Allianz identified India (+21.2%), Germany (+35.9%), Kenya (+57.7%), Poland (+102.1%) and Morocco (205.9%).

The impact on businesses from protests and riots can be substantial, ranging from direct property damage to operational disruptions. Organizations particularly vulnerable include retail premises (especially foreign-owned or high-value stores), government buildings, transport infrastructure, critical assets like petrol stations, and tourism businesses, according to the report.

Supply chain disruptions represent another significant threat, with 41% of companies expressing concern.

“All kinds of civil unrest and protest activity remains a problem, weighing heavily on the minds of businesses around the globe,” says Etienne Cheret, Regional Head of Political Violence and Terrorism at Allianz Commercial. “Contributing factors such as high inflation, wealth inequality, food and fuel prices, climate anxieties and concerns about civil liberties or perceived assaults on democracy have not eased.”

Terrorism and State-Sponsored Sabotage

Terrorism remains a persistent threat, with Islamic State and its affiliates causing more than 1,800 deaths across 22 countries in 2024, according to the report. Terrorist attacks increased by 63% in Western nations, with Europe most affected as attacks doubled to 67 incidents. Meanwhile, far-right extremism is expanding globally, with significant activity in the United States, Germany, Australia, the UK, France, and Spain, Allianz reported.

Equally concerning is the rising threat of state-sponsored sabotage. Russia’s hybrid warfare tactics have expanded beyond Ukraine, with documented Russian sabotage activities across Europe jumping to 44 incidents in 2024 from 13 in 2023. For example, nearly 200 vessels have been suspected of engaging in espionage activities near critical infrastructure in the North Sea.

“This represents a real threat for any businesses in the line of fire, as well as the commercial insurance industry across lines of cover including property, business interruption, cyber, war, political violence and terrorism,” says Srdjan Todorovic, Head of Political Violence and Hostile Environment Solutions at Allianz Commercial. He notes that even if the Ukraine war ends, “the sabotage cat is out of the bag” and the risk will persist.

Cyber Attacks and Environmental Activism

Digital threats are evolving rapidly, with Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) actors—usually state-sponsored—leveraging sophisticated cyber-attacks to spread misinformation and instigate real-world unrest, Allianz reported. Critical infrastructure faces growing vulnerability to cyber-physical attacks that could cause equipment damage and threaten human safety.

Meanwhile, environmental activism is entering a more confrontational phase. With 2024 marking the hottest year on record and several countries, including the United States, scaling back climate commitments, activist groups are becoming increasingly militant, the report stated. Environmental activism incidents increased by approximately 120% between 2022 and 2023, according to risk intelligence firm Seerist.

For businesses, the unpredictability of political violence events presents unique challenges compared to other threats, according to Allianz. Unlike natural disasters such as floods or windstorms, these incidents are difficult to anticipate in terms of size, location, and duration, making standard business continuity planning less effective.

View the full report here. &

The R&I Editorial Team can be reached at [email protected].

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